Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.095904 0.110907 0.127471 0.147117 0.169782 0.195114 0.225585
2025-12-14 0.070507 0.090137 0.114037 0.145275 0.185047 0.234024 0.298982
2025-12-21 0.058080 0.079636 0.107735 0.147044 0.200652 0.271282 0.371567
2025-12-28 0.051342 0.074536 0.106499 0.153761 0.221928 0.316822 0.459257
2026-01-04 0.045564 0.069505 0.104126 0.157834 0.239151 0.357875 0.544862
2026-01-11 0.040872 0.065173 0.101861 0.161274 0.255221 0.398354 0.633698
2026-01-18 0.036575 0.060731 0.098664 0.162552 0.267661 0.434151 0.718873
2026-01-25 0.032331 0.055736 0.093858 0.160440 0.274080 0.460689 0.791651
2026-02-01 0.028203 0.050360 0.087702 0.155184 0.274390 0.476851 0.848382
2026-02-08 0.025990 0.047969 0.086223 0.157606 0.287853 0.516200 0.948896
2026-02-15 0.023793 0.045317 0.083938 0.158237 0.298035 0.550620 1.044045
2026-02-22 0.022074 0.043321 0.082572 0.160302 0.310902 0.590917 1.154024
2026-03-01 0.019800 0.040040 0.078533 0.157008 0.313564 0.613119 1.233245
2026-03-08 0.017950 0.037373 0.075371 0.155058 0.318627 0.640450 1.325744
2026-03-15 0.016734 0.035831 0.074221 0.156946 0.331460 0.684137 1.455767
2026-03-22 0.016166 0.035561 0.075585 0.164114 0.355853 0.753457 1.646377
2026-03-29 0.015369 0.034704 0.075627 0.168460 0.374716 0.813219 1.823169
2026-04-05 0.014580 0.033766 0.075381 0.172132 0.392465 0.872353 2.004996
2026-04-12 0.013672 0.032451 0.074169 0.173496 0.405190 0.921809 2.170478
2026-04-19 0.012577 0.030578 0.071506 0.171242 0.409392 0.952683 2.296579
2026-04-26 0.011358 0.028268 0.067597 0.165632 0.405124 0.963790 2.377291
2026-05-03 0.010791 0.027475 0.067141 0.168217 0.420666 1.022444 2.578786
2026-05-10 0.010151 0.026426 0.065961 0.168891 0.431594 1.071196 2.761185